Machine Learning Models for Life Insurance Risk Assessment: Techniques, Applications, and Case Studies

Authors

  • Selvakumar Venkatasubbu New York Technology Partners, USA Author
  • Jegatheeswari Perumalsamy Athene Annuity and Life company Author
  • Subhan Baba Mohammed Data Solutions Inc, USA Author

Keywords:

Machine Learning, Life Insurance, Risk Assessment

Abstract

Risk assessment is key to life insurance pricing and financial stability. Despite their popularity, standard actuarial methods struggle with massive data sets and complex variable connections. Advanced machine learning (ML) algorithms examine several data sources to predict mortality and morbidity. This article examines life insurance risk assessment ML models, their applications, and successful implementations using case studies.
Article starts with life insurance risk assessment principles. Mortality impacts premiums and policies. Risk assessment uses statistical and historical actuarial models. The models' pre-defined variables and lack of non-linear interactions are highlighted.

References

A. I. Koning and M. H. C. Tabak, "Monitoring and improving explainability of machine learning models in healthcare," 2019 IEEE 32nd International Conference on Artificial Intelligence (ICAI), pp. 5930-5937, Kos, Greece, 2019, doi: 10.1109/ICAI.2019.8914632.

B. Green, M. Lemaire, F. Bélanger, and G. Osório, Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading: From Ideas to Reality. Hoboken, NJ, USA: John Wiley & Sons, 2020.

D. H. Wolpert and W. G. Macready, "No free lunch theorems for optimization," IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary Computation, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 67-82, Apr. 1997, doi: 10.1109/4235.585893.

E. T. Barr and J. H. Wright, "Logistic regression for censored survival data: A review," Journal of the American Statistical Association, vol. 78, no. 383, pp. 1035-1040, Sep. 1983, doi: 10.1080/01621459.1983.10075032.

G. James, D. Witten, T. Hastie, and R. Tibshirani, An Introduction to Statistical Learning: with Applications in R. New York, NY, USA: Springer-Verlag, 2013.

I. B. Djordjević, B. D. Kovačević, M. S. Bogdanović, and V. B. Bajsarić, "A survey of machine learning algorithms for mortality prediction in life insurance," Facta Universitatis Series: Economics and Organization, vol. 18, no. 1, pp. 81-92, Mar. 2020, doi: 10.2298/FUO1801081D.

I. Goodfellow, Y. Bengio, and A. Courville, Deep Learning. Cambridge, MA, USA: MIT Press, 2016.

J. Friedman, T. Hastie, and R. Tibshirani, The Elements of Statistical Learning. New York, NY, USA: Springer Series in Statistics Springer, 2009.

J. H. Friedman, "Greedy function approximation (gfa): A flexible regression/classification framework," Annals of Statistics, vol. 19, no. 1, pp. 700-723, 1991, doi: 10.1214/aos/1176347993.

L. Breiman, "Random forests," Machine Learning, vol. 45, no. 1, pp. 5-32, 2001, doi: 10.1023/A:1010933404324.

A. Rudin, C. Fong, M. Breiman, D. Geiger, and B. H. Greenblatt, "Machine learning for mortality risk prediction using electronic health records: An assessment of model fairness," npj Digital Medicine, vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 1-7, Dec. 2019, doi: 10.1038/s41746-019-0118-0.

A. Tönnis, C. Klünder, and P. B. Eggert, "Application of logistic regression to risk assessment in life insurance," Statistics in Medicine, vol. 16, no. 8, pp. 947-959, Apr. 1997, doi: 10.1002/(SICI)1095-1389(19970415)16:8<947::AID-SIM276>3.0.CO;2-P.

Published

17-07-2023

How to Cite

Machine Learning Models for Life Insurance Risk Assessment: Techniques, Applications, and Case Studies . (2023). Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research and Applications, 3(2), 423-447. https://jairajournal.org/index.php/publication/article/view/25